题目内容
如果甲乙两个乒乓球选手进行比赛,而且他们在每一局中获胜的概率都是
,规定使用“七局四胜制”,即先赢四局者胜.
(1)试分别求甲打完4局、5局才获胜的概率;
(2)设比赛局数为ξ,求ξ的分布列及期望.
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221250927319.png)
(1)试分别求甲打完4局、5局才获胜的概率;
(2)设比赛局数为ξ,求ξ的分布列及期望.
(1)
;
;
(2)
的分布列为
=![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221251239496.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221250958867.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/201408232212509741195.png)
(2)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221251005320.png)
![]() | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/201408232212512081351.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221251239496.png)
(1) (i)甲打完4局才获胜说明4局甲全胜.所以其概率为![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221250958867.png)
(ii)甲打完5局才获胜,即甲在前4局比赛中胜3局且第5局胜.所以甲打完5局才获胜的概率为![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/201408232212509741195.png)
(2)先确定
的可能取值为4,5,6,7,然后再求出
取每个值对应的概率,再列出分布列,根据期望公式求出期望值即可
(1)①甲打完4局才获胜的概率为
;
②甲打完5局才获胜,即甲在前4局比赛中胜3局且第5局胜,则甲打完5局才获胜的概率为
;
(2)
的可能取值为4,5,6,7.
;
;
;
.
的分布列为
=![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221251239496.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221250958867.png)
(ii)甲打完5局才获胜,即甲在前4局比赛中胜3局且第5局胜.所以甲打完5局才获胜的概率为
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/201408232212509741195.png)
(2)先确定
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221251036304.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221251036304.png)
(1)①甲打完4局才获胜的概率为
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221250958867.png)
②甲打完5局才获胜,即甲在前4局比赛中胜3局且第5局胜,则甲打完5局才获胜的概率为
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/201408232212509741195.png)
(2)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221251036304.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/201408232212513951117.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/201408232212514111462.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/201408232212514421509.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/201408232212514571424.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221251005320.png)
![]() | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/201408232212516451377.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/pic2/upload/papers/20140823/20140823221251239496.png)
![](http://thumb.zyjl.cn/images/loading.gif)
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