ÌâÄ¿ÄÚÈÝ
ÎÒ¹ú1950¡ª1959ÄêÈË¿ÚÊý¾Ý×ÊÁÏÈçϱí:Äê·Ý | 1950 | 1951 | 1952 | 1953 | 1954 |
ʱ¼ät | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
ÈËÊýy/ÍòÈË | 55 196 | 56 300 | 57 482 | 58 796 | 60 266 |
Äê·Ý | 1955 | 1956 | 1957 | 1958 | 1959 |
ʱ¼ät | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
ÈËÊýy/ÍòÈË | 61 456 | 62 828 | 64 563 | 65 994 | 67 207 |
ÈôyÓëtÖ®¼äÂú×ãy=aebt¹ØÏµ£¬Çóº¯Êý½âÎöʽ;Èô°´´ËÔö³¤Ç÷ÊÆ¹À¼Æ´óÔ¼ÔÚÄÄÒ»ÄêÎÒ¹úÈ˿ڴﵽ14ÒÚ£¿
½â£ºÉè¦Ì=lny£¬c=lna,Ôò¦Ì=c+bt.
t | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
¦Ì | 10.918 6 | 10.938 4 | 10.959 2 | 10.981 8 |
t | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
¦Ì | 11.006 5 | 11.026 1 | 11.048 2 | 11.075 4 |
t | 8 | 9 |
|
|
¦Ì | 11.097 3 | 11.115 5 |
|
|
=45,
=110.167 0,
=285,
¦Ìi=497.593 6,
=4.5,
=11.016 7,
b=
=
=0.0223,
c=
-b
=11.016 7-0.022 3¡Á4.5=10.916 4,
¡à¦Ì=10.916 4+0.022 3t. y=e10.916 4+0.022 3t.
Áîy=140 000Íò£¬
Ôò10.916 4+0.022 3t=ln140 000=11.849 4£¬
¡àt=41.838 5.
¼´´óÔ¼ÔÚ1950ÄêºóµÄµÚ42Äê(¼´1992Äê)ÎÒ¹úÈ˿ڴﵽ14ÒÚ,ÓÉ´Ë¿´À´,¼Æ»®ÉúÓýÊÇÎÒ¹úµÄ»ù±¾¹ú²ß.
ÔçÔÚ1798Äê,Ó¢¹ú¾¼Ãѧ¼ÒÂí¶ûÈøË¹¾ÍÌá³ö×ÔȻ״̬ϵÄÈË¿ÚÔö³¤Ä£ÐÍy=y0¡¤ert,ÆäÖÐt±íʾʱ¼ä,y0±íʾt=0ʱµÄÈË¿ÚÊý,r±íʾÈ˿ڵÄÄêÆ½¾ùÔö³¤ÂÊ.
ÏÂÃæÁ½¸ö±í¸ñÊÇÎÒ¹úÁ½¶ÎʱÆÚµÄÈË¿Ú×ÊÁÏ,ÊÔ·Ö±ðÇó³öÕâÁ½¶ÎʱÆÚµÄÈË¿ÚÄ£ÐÍ,²¢½øÐбȽÏ,½âÊÍΪʲô»á²»Í¬,²¢Ô¤²â2010ÄêʱÎÒ¹úÈË¿Ú×ÜÊý.
¼× 1950¡ª1959
Äê·Ý | 1950 | 1951 | 1952 | 1953 | 1954 |
ÈËÊý(Íò) | 55 196 | 56 300 | 57 482 | 58 796 | 60 266 |
Äê·Ý | 1955 | 1956 | 1957 | 1958 | 1959 |
ÈËÊý(Íò) | 61 456 | 62 828 | 64 563 | 65 994 | 67 207 |
ÒÒ 1991¡ª1998
Äê·Ý | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 |
ÈËÊý(Íò) | 114 333 | 115 823 | 117 171 | 118 517 |
Äê·Ý | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 |
ÈËÊý(Íò) | 119 850 | 121 121 | 122 389 | 123 626 |
Äê·Ý | 1950 | 1951 | 1952 | 1953 | 1954 | 1955 | 1956 | 1957 | 1958 | 1959 |
ʱ¼ät | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
ÈËÊýy/ÍòÈË | 55 196 | 56 300 | 57 482 | 58 796 | 60 266 | 61 456 | 62 828 | 64 563 | 65 994 | 67 207 |
ÈôyÓëtÖ®¼äÂú×ãy=aebt¹ØÏµ,Çóº¯Êý½âÎöʽ,Èô°´´ËÔö³¤Ç÷ÊÆ¹À¼Æ´óÔ¼ÔÚÄÄÒ»ÄêÎÒ¹úÈ˿ڴﵽ14ÒÚ?