摘要: deplorable 悲惨的.杂乱的

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Nearly two thousand years have passed since a census decreed by Caesar Augustus become part of the greatest story ever told. Many things have changed in the intervening years. The hotel industry worries more about overbuilding than overcrowding, and if they had to meet an unexpected influx, few inns would have a manager to accommodate the weary guests. Now it is the census taker that does the traveling in the fond hope that a highly mobile population will stay long enough to get a good sampling. Methods of gathering, recording, and evaluating information have presumably been improved a great deal. And where then it was the modest purpose of Rome to obtain a simple head count as an adequate basis for levying taxes, now batteries of complicated statistical series furnished by governmental agencies and private organizations are eagerly scanned and interpreted by sages and seers to get a clue to future events. The Bible does not tell us how the Roman census takers made out, and as regards our more immediate concern, the reliability of present day economic forecasting, there are considerable differences of opinion. They were aired at the celebration of the 125th anniversary of the American Statistical Association. There was the thought that business forecasting might well be on its way from an art to a science, and some speakers talked about newfangled computers and high-falutin mathematical system in terms of excitement and endearment which we, at least in our younger years when these things mattered, would have associated more readily with the description of a fair maiden. But others pointed to the deplorable record of highly esteemed forecasts and forecasters with a batting average below that of the Mets, and the President-elect of the Association cautioned that “high powered statistical methods are usually in order where the facts are crude and inadequate, the exact contrary of what crude and inadequate statisticians assume.” We left his birthday party somewhere between hope and despair and with the conviction, not really newly acquired, that proper statistical methods applied to ascertainable facts have their merits in economic forecasting as long as neither forecaster nor public is deluded into mistaking the delineation of probabilities and trends for a prediction of certainties of mathematical exactitude.

Taxation in Roman days apparently was based on

[A]. wealth. [B]. mobility. [C]. population. [D]. census takers.

The American Statistical Association

[A]. is converting statistical study from an art to a science.

[B]. has an excellent record in business forecasting.

[C]. is neither hopeful nor pessimistic.

[D]. speaks with mathematical exactitude.

The message the author wishes the reader to get is

[A]. statisticians have not advanced since the days of the Roman.

[B]. statistics is not as yet a science.

[C]. statisticians love their machine.

[D].computer is hopeful.

The “greatest story ever told” referred to in the passage is the story of

[A]. Christmas. [B]. The Mets.

[C]. Moses. [D]. Roman Census Takers.

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Vincent van Gogh was not always an artist. In fact, he wanted to be a(n) __21  and was even sent to the Belgian __22  community of Borinage. He discovered that the miners there __23  deplorable(悲惨的) working conditions and poverty-level wages. Their families  __24__  simply to survive. He felt concerned that the small amount of money he received from the church __25  him a moderate life-style, which, __26 , seemed to him unfair.
One cold February evening, while he watched the miners trudging(步履艰难)home, he __27  an old man staggering(蹒跚)toward him across the fields, __28 in a burlap sack for warmth. Van Gogh laid his own clothing out on the bed, __29 enough for one change, and decided to give__30 away. He gave the old man a suit of clothes and gave his overcoat to a pregnant woman whose __31 had been killed in a cave-in.
He lived on starvation rations and spent his money on __32  for the miners. When children in one family had fever, though __33  himself, he packed up his bed and took it to them.
A (an) __34  family in the community offered him free room and board. Van Gogh __35__ the offer, stating that it was the final temptation he must reject if he was to __36  serve his community of poor miners.
He believed that if he wanted them to __37  him, he must become one of them. And if they were to learn of love through him, he must love them enough to __38  with them.
He was aware of the wide chasm(鸿沟)between words and actions. He knew that our lives always __39  louder and clearer than words.
Others are “ __40 ” carefully to your actions. What are you saying to them?

【小题1】
A.office clerkB.coal minerC.factory workerD.church minister
【小题2】
A.miningB.religionC.povertyD.working
【小题3】
A.sharedB.sufferedC.complainedD.enjoyed
【小题4】
A.triedB.managedC.struggledD.worked
【小题5】
A.allowedB.awardedC.protectedD.provided
【小题6】
A.in contrastB.in returnC.in briefD.as a result
【小题7】
A.graspedB.spottedC.feltD.met
【小题8】
A.enclosedB.surroundedC.wrappedD.packed
【小题9】
A.put onB.gave upC.brought outD.set aside
【小题10】
A.the otherB.the restC.the unwantedD.the unused
【小题11】
A.husbandB.brotherC.sisterD.father
【小题12】
A.toysB.foodC.medicineD.things
【小题13】
A.poorB.lonelyC.lovelessD.feverish
【小题14】
A.wealthyB.affectedC.well-knownD.nearby
【小题15】
A.acceptedB.praisedC.refusedD.evaluated
【小题16】
A.carefullyB.preparedlyC.faithfullyD.regrettably
【小题17】
A.love B.trustC.praiseD.help
【小题18】
A.shareB.connectC.fightD.live
【小题19】
A.strikeB.talkC.speakD.cry
【小题20】
A.leadingB.pointingC.movingD.listening

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