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¡¡¡¡Beyond two or three days£¬the world¡¯s best weather forecasts are doubtful, and beyond six or seven they are worthless.
¡¡¡¡The Butterfly Effect is the reason. For small pieces of weather¡ªto a global forecaster£¬small can mean thunder¡ªstorms and blizzards£¨±©·çÑ©£©¡ªany prediction becomes worse rapidly. Errors and uncertainties increase£¬from dust devils and storms up to continent-size eddies£¨ÐýÎУ©that only satellites can see.
¡¡¡¡The modern weather models work with net-like points sixty miles apart£¬and even so£¬some starting data have to be guessed£¬since ground stations and satellites cannot see everywhere. But suppose the earth could be covered with sensors placed one foot apart£¬rising at one-foot intervals all the way to the top of the atmosphere. Suppose every sensor gives perfectly accurate readings of temperature£¬pressure£¬humidity£¨Î¶ȣ©, and any other data a weatherman would want. Exactly at noon a powerful computer takes all the data and calculates what will happen at each point at 12.01, then 12.02£¬then 12.03¡the computer will still be unable to predict whether Princeton will have sun or rain one month away. At noon the spaces between the sensors will hide fluctuations£¨²¨¶¯£©that the computer will not know about. By 12.01£¬those fluctuations will already have created small errors one foot away. Soon the errors will have added to the ten-foot scale£¬and so on up to the size of the globe.
63£®A weather forecast ____________ in the world.
A£®is reliable within one or two days
B£®is doubtful beyond 24 hours
C£®becomes useless beyond two or three days
D£®is still worthwhile in seven days
64£®Usually there is a weather sub-station____________.
A£®in every city ¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡B£®every 60 miles
C£®between two cities ¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡ D£®every one foot
65£®Which of the following statements is true£¿
A£®People have not placed sensors one foot apart in the atmosphere.
B£®Scientists have already put sensors one foot apart in the world.
C£®Every sensor gives perfectly accurate data a weatherman wants.
D£®Ground weather stations and satellites can see every place on earth.
66£®Our computer will not be able to know about fluctuations because ____________.
A£®the sensors are not good enough
B£®they are hidden by the spaces between the sensors
C£®they are too far away
D£®they move very fast
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