ÌâÄ¿ÄÚÈÝ
17£®£¨¢ñ£©ÇóNºÍ[30£¬35£©Ö®¼äµÄ²Î¼ÓÕßÈËÊýN1£»
£¨¢ò£©ÒÑÖª[30£¬35£©ºÍ[35£¬40£©Á½×é¸÷ÓÐ2ÃûÊýѧ½Ìʦ£¬ÏÖ´ÓÕâÁ½¸ö×éÖи÷ѡȡ2È˵£ÈνӴý¹¤×÷£¬ÉèÁ½×éµÄÑ¡Ôñ»¥²»Ó°Ï죬ÇóÁ½×éÑ¡³öµÄÈËÖж¼ÖÁÉÙÓÐ1ÃûÊýѧ½ÌʦµÄ¸ÅÂÊ£»
£¨¢ó£©×éÖ¯Õß´Ó[45£¬55£©Ö®¼äµÄ²Î¼ÓÕߣ¨ÆäÖй²ÓÐ4ÃûÅ®½Ìʦ£¬ÆäÓàȫΪÄнÌʦ£©ÖÐËæ»úѡȡ3Ãûµ£ÈκóÇÚ±£ÕϹ¤×÷£¬ÆäÖÐÅ®½ÌʦµÄÈËÊýΪ¦Î£¬Çó¦ÎµÄ·Ö²¼ÁкÍÊýѧÆÚÍûE¦Î£®
·ÖÎö £¨¢ñ£©ÉèÆµÂÊ·Ö²¼Ö±·½Í¼ÖÐ7¸ö×éµÄƵÂÊ·Ö±ðΪP1£¬P2£¬P3£¬P4£¬P5£¬P6£¬P7£¬P4=0.04¡Á5=0.2£¬´Ó¶ø$N=\frac{8}{0.2}=40$£¬ÓÉ´ËÄÜÇó³ö[30£¬35£©Ö®¼äµÄÖ¾Ô¸ÕßÈËÊý£®
£¨¢ò£©ÓÉ£¨¢ñ£©Öª[30£¬35£©Ö®¼äÓÐ40¡Á0.3=12ÈË£¬Éè´Ó[30£¬35£©Ö®¼äÈ¡2È˵£ÈνӴý¹¤×÷£¬ÆäÖÐÖÁÉÙÓÐ1ÃûÊýѧ½ÌʦµÄʼþΪʼþB£»´Ó[35£¬40£©Ö®¼äÈ¡2È˵£ÈνӴý¹¤×÷ÆäÖÐÖÁÉÙÓÐ1ÃûÊýѧ½ÌʦµÄʼþΪʼþC£¬ÓÉ´ËÍÆµ¼³öÅ®½ÌʦµÄÊýÁ¿Îª¦ÎµÄȡֵ¿ÉΪ1£¬2£¬3£¬·Ö±ðÇó³öÏàÓ¦µÄ¸ÅÂÊ£¬ÓÉ´ËÄÜÇó³ö¦ÎµÄ·Ö²¼ÁкÍÊýѧÆÚÍûE¦Î£®
½â´ð ½â£º£¨¢ñ£©ÉèÆµÂÊ·Ö²¼Ö±·½Í¼ÖÐ7¸ö×éµÄƵÂÊ·Ö±ðΪP1£¬P2£¬P3£¬P4£¬P5£¬P6£¬P7£¬P4=0.04¡Á5=0.2£¬ËùÒÔ$N=\frac{8}{0.2}=40$¡£¨2·Ö£©
ÓÉÌâÒâP1+P2+P3+P4+P5+P6+P7=1£¬¶øP3=1-£¨P1+P2+P4+P5+P6+P7£©=1-5£¨0.01+0.03+0.04+0.03+0.02+0.01£©=0.3
¡à[30£¬35£©Ö®¼äµÄÖ¾Ô¸ÕßÈËÊýN1=40¡ÁP3=40¡Á0.3=12ÈË¡£¨4·Ö£©
£¨¢ò£©ÓÉ£¨¢ñ£©Öª[30£¬35£©Ö®¼äÓÐ40¡Á0.3=12ÈË
Éè´Ó[30£¬35£©Ö®¼äÈ¡2È˵£ÈνӴý¹¤×÷£¬ÆäÖÐÖÁÉÙÓÐ1ÃûÊýѧ½ÌʦµÄʼþΪʼþB£»
´Ó[35£¬40£©Ö®¼äÈ¡2È˵£ÈνӴý¹¤×÷ÆäÖÐÖÁÉÙÓÐ1ÃûÊýѧ½ÌʦµÄʼþΪʼþC£¬
ÒòΪÁ½×éµÄÑ¡Ôñ»¥²»Ó°Ï죬ΪÏ໥¶ÀÁ¢Ê¼þ£¬
$P£¨B£©=1-P£¨\overline B£©=1-\frac{{C_{10}^2}}{{C_{12}^2}}=\frac{7}{22}$$P£¨C£©=1-P£¨\overline C£©=1-\frac{C_6^2}{C_8^2}=\frac{13}{28}$
ËùÒÔ$P£¨BC£©=P£¨B£©P£¨C£©=\frac{13}{88}$¡£¨6·Ö£©
[45£¬55£©Ö®¼ä¹²ÓÐ5¡Á£¨0.01+0.02£©¡Á40=6ÈË£¬ÆäÖÐ4ÃûÅ®½Ìʦ£¬2ÃûÄнÌʦ£¬
´ÓÖÐѡȡ3ÈË£¬ÔòÅ®½ÌʦµÄÊýÁ¿Îª¦ÎµÄȡֵ¿ÉΪ1£¬2£¬3¡£¨8·Ö£©
ËùÒÔ$P£¨¦Î=1£©=\frac{C_4^1C_2^2}{C_6^3}=\frac{1}{5}$£»$P£¨¦Î=2£©=\frac{C_4^2C_2^1}{C_6^3}=\frac{3}{5}$£»$P£¨¦Î=3£©=\frac{C_4^3C_2^0}{C_6^3}=\frac{1}{5}$¡£¨10·Ö£©
ËùÒÔ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪ
| ¦Î | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| P | $\frac{1}{5}$ | $\frac{3}{5}$ | $\frac{1}{5}$ |
µãÆÀ ±¾Ì⿼²é¸ÅÂʵÄÇ󷨣¬¿¼²éÀëÉ¢ÐÍËæ»ú±äÁ¿µÄ·Ö²¼ÁкÍÊýѧÆÚÍûµÄÇ󷨣¬ÊÇÖеµÌ⣬½âÌâʱҪÈÏÕæÉóÌ⣬עÒâÅÅÁÐ×éºÏ֪ʶµÄºÏÀíÔËÓã®
| A£® | 2 | B£® | 4 | C£® | 8 | D£® | 16 |
| ÄêÁäx | 21 | 24 | 34 | 41 |
| Ö¬·¾y | 9.5 | 17.5 | 24.9 | 28.1 |