ÌâÄ¿ÄÚÈÝ
14£®£¨¢ñ£©ÈôÖ±·½Í¼ÖÐǰÈý×éµÄƵÂʳɵȱÈÊýÁУ¬ºóËÄ×éµÄƵÂʳɵȲîÊýÁУ¬ÊÔ¹À¼ÆÈ«Äê¼¶ÊÓÁ¦ÔÚ5.0ÒÔϵÄÈËÊý£»
£¨¢ò£©Ñ§Ï°Ð¡×é³ÉÔ±·¢ÏÖ£¬Ñ§Ï°³É¼¨Í»³öµÄѧÉú£¬½üÊӵıȽ϶࣬ΪÁËÑо¿Ñ§ÉúµÄÊÓÁ¦Óëѧϰ³É¼¨ÊÇ·ñÓйØÏµ£¬¶ÔÄê¼ÍÃû´ÎÔÚ1¡«50ÃûºÍ951¡«1000ÃûµÄѧÉú½øÐÐÁ˵÷²é£¬µÃµ½Èçͼ±íÖÐÊý¾Ý£º
| 1-50 | 951-1000 | |
| ½üÊÓ | 41 | 32 |
| ²»½üÊÓ | 9 | 18 |
£¨¢ó£©ÔÚ£¨¢ò£©Öе÷²éµÄ100ÃûѧÉúÖУ¬ÔÚ²»½üÊÓµÄѧÉúÖа´Õճɼ¨ÊÇ·ñÔÚǰ50Ãû·Ö²ã³éÑù³éÈ¡ÁË9ÈË£¬½øÒ»²½µ÷²éËûÃÇÁ¼ºÃµÄ»¤ÑÛϰ¹ß£¬²¢ÇÒÔÚÕâ9ÈËÖÐÈÎÈ¡3ÈË£¬¼ÇÃû´ÎÔÚ1¡«50ÃûµÄѧÉúÈËÊýΪX£¬ÇóXµÄ·Ö²¼ÁкÍÊýѧÆÚÍû£®
¸½£º
| P£¨K2¡Ýk£© | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.025 | 0.010 | 0.005 |
| k | 2.706 | 3.841 | 5.024 | 6.635 | 7.879 |
·ÖÎö £¨I£©ÀûÓÃÆµÂʵļÆËã·½·¨£¬µÈ²îÊýÁÐÓëµÈ±ÈÊýÁеÄͨÏʽ¼°ÆäÐÔÖʼ´¿ÉµÃ³ö£®
£¨II£©¸ù¾Ýk2µÄ¼ÆË㹫ʽ£¬¸ù¾Ý¶ÀÁ¢ÐÔ¼ìÑé»ù±¾Ë¼Ïë¼´¿ÉµÃ³ö½áÂÛ£®
½â´ð ½â£º£¨¢ñ£©Éè¸÷×éµÄƵÂÊΪfi£¨i=1£¬2£¬3£¬4£¬5£¬6£©£¬
ÒÀÌâÒ⣬ǰÈý×éµÄƵÂʳɵȱÈÊýÁУ¬ºóËÄ×éµÄƵÂʳɵȲîÊýÁУ¬¹Êf1=0.15¡Á0.2=0.03£¬f2=0.45¡Á0.2=0.09£¬${f_3}=\frac{{{f_2}^2}}{f_1}=0.27$£®
¡àÓÉ$\frac{{£¨{f_3}+{f_6}£©•4}}{2}=1-£¨0.03+0.09£©$£¬¿ÉµÃf6=0.17£¬
¡àÊÓÁ¦ÔÚ5.0ÒÔÏÂµÄÆµÂÊΪ1-0.17=0.83£¬
¹ÊÈ«Äê¼¶ÊÓÁ¦ÔÚ5.0ÒÔϵÄÈËÊýԼΪ1000¡Á0.83=830£®
£¨¢ò£© ${k^2}=\frac{{100¡Á{{£¨41¡Á18-32¡Á9£©}^2}}}{50¡Á50¡Á73¡Á27}=\frac{300}{73}¡Ö4.110£¾3.841$£¬
Òò´ËÔÚ·¸´íÎóµÄ¸ÅÂʲ»³¬¹ý0.05µÄǰÌáÏÂÈÏΪÊÓÁ¦Óëѧϰ³É¼¨ÓйØÏµ£®
£¨¢ó£©ÒÀÌâÒâ9ÈËÖÐÄê¼¶Ãû´ÎÔÚ1¡«50ÃûºÍ951¡«1000Ãû·Ö±ðÓÐ3È˺Í6ÈË£¬X¿ÉÈ¡0£¬1£¬2£¬3£¬$P£¨X=0£©=\frac{C_6^3}{C_9^3}=\frac{20}{84}$£¬$P£¨X=1£©=\frac{C_6^2C_3^1}{C_9^3}=\frac{45}{84}$£¬$P£¨X=2£©=\frac{C_6^1C_3^2}{C_9^3}=\frac{18}{84}$£¬$P£¨X=3£©=\frac{C_3^3}{C_9^3}=\frac{1}{84}$£¬
XµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪ£º![]()
XµÄÊýѧÆÚÍû$E£¨X£©=0¡Á\frac{20}{84}+1¡Á\frac{45}{84}+2¡Á\frac{18}{84}+3¡Á\frac{1}{84}=1$£®
µãÆÀ ±¾Ì⿼²éÁËÆµÂÊ·Ö²¼Ö±·½Í¼µÄÐÔÖʼ°ÆäÓ¦Óᢹŵä¸ÅÂʼÆË㹫ʽ¡¢³¬¼¸ºÎ·Ö²¼Áм°ÆäÊýѧÆÚÍûµÄ¼ÆË㹫ʽ¡¢¶ÀÁ¢ÐÔ¼ìÑé»ù±¾Ë¼Ï룬¿¼²éÁËÍÆÀíÄÜÁ¦Óë¼ÆËãÄÜÁ¦£¬ÊôÓÚÖеµÌ⣮
| A£® | 6 | B£® | 7 | C£® | 8 | D£® | 9 |
| A£® | $\frac{1}{2}$ | B£® | 1 | C£® | $\frac{1}{3}$ | D£® | $\frac{2}{3}$ |
| Äê·Ý | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |
| ʱ¼ä´úºÅt | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| ´¢Ðî´æ¿îy £¨Ç§ÒÚÔª£© | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
ÓÃËùÇ󻨹鷽³ÌÔ¤²â¸ÃµØÇø2016Ä꣨t=7£©ÈËÃñ±Ò´¢Ðî´æ¿î£®
¸½£º»Ø¹éÖ±Ïß·½³Ì$\widehat{y}$=$\widehat{a}$+$\widehat{b}$tÖУ¬$\widehat{b}$=$\frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n}{t}_{i}{y}_{i}-n\overline{t}\overline{y}}{\sum_{i=1}^{n}{{t}_{i}}^{2}-n{\overline{t}}^{2}}$£¬$\widehat{a}$=$\overline{y}$-$\widehat{b}$$\overline{t}$£®