题目内容
15.In offering Michael Jackson ticket holders the choice to take a refund or receive their unusable tickets as souvenirs,AEG have introduced music fans to one of the most unmanageable problems in the mathematical sciences.If nearly everybody takes the refund then the tickets,designed by the King of Pop himself,will become collectors'items and worth a fortune.However,if ail 750,000fans take their tickets then they will all hold worthless bits of fancy paper.The choice facing fans is similar to the El Farol bar problem,which has been the subject of hundreds of academic papers and inspired a whole field:minority game theory.That is,if you reason that every Michael Jackson fan will take a refund then you should take the ticket,but they will reason in the same way and there will be a flood of souvenirs,so you should ask for your money back,but then…
So,with the benefit of the hundreds of academic papers from scientists around the world,what should a Times reader who holds a ticket do?The research tells us that,if you assume everybody else will use the same strategy as you,then the best you can do is to throw a dice(骰子):deciding whether or not to keep the ticket according to a probability determined by demand for tickets and price.However,working out the probability is tough and most fans,without the benefit of minority game theory,won't be tossing a dice.
There is one huge factor in the Michael Jackson problem which isn't in the standard El Farol bar problem.Hype (炒作)•If the owners of the El Farol bar distributed fliers (传单) announcing it was going to be quiet next week,then it would be a safe bet to stay at home with a glass of wine.So my advice would be to read the newspapers and decide what to do on the basis of the experts'advice.If all the articles you read say the tickets will be collectors'items then ask for a refund,and if they all accuse AEG of cheating crazy fans then take the ticket.It was,after ail,designed by Michael Jackson.
67.In the Para 1,the underlined part"the King of Pop"refers toB.
A.El Farol B.Michael Jackson
C.A ticket holder D.A souvenir keeper
68.The burning problem Michael Jackson ticket holders have to deal with isC.
A.what advice to take B.how to get their money back
C.how to deal with the tickets D.how to make a fortune
69.It isn't said but implied that"minority game theory"is a theory aboutA
A.people's reasoning
B.Jackson's strategy
C.experts'advice
D.minority's bet
70.What the writer advises the ticket holders to do isC.
A.to throw a dice
B.to follow the experts
C.to read the newspaper
D.to take the ticket.
分析 文章讲述了迈克尔•杰克逊演唱会门票的持有人面临的问题是:如何处理门票,即退票或将票留作纪念,并建议人们多读报纸,然后依据专家的建议决定做什么.
解答 67-70 BCAC
67题答案是B.细节理解题.根据designed by the King of Pop himself和It was,after ail,designed by Michael Jackson.可知流行音乐之王是指迈克尔•杰克逊.故选B.
68题答案是C.推理判断题.通读全文可知,迈克尔•杰克逊演唱会门票的持有人面临的问题是:如何处理门票,即退票或将票留作纪念.故选C.
69题答案是A.推理判断题.根据第二段最后一句可以推断,minority game theory 是关于人们的推理的理论.故选A.
70题答案是C.细节理解题.根据最后一段中的"So my advice would be to read the newspapers and decide what to do on the basis of the experts'advice."建议是读报纸,然后依据专家的建议决定做什么.故选C.
点评 本文是政治经济类阅读理解.做这类题材阅读理解时要求考生对文章通读一遍,做题时结合原文和题目有针对性的找出相关语句进行仔细分析,结合选项选出正确答案.推理判断题也是要在抓住关键句子的基础上合理的分析才能得出正确答案,切忌胡乱猜测,一定要做到有理有据.
练习册系列答案
相关题目
5.These houses look the same but in fact each of them is ______ different in size.( )
A. | slightly | B. | gradually | C. | frequently | D. | approximately |