ÌâÄ¿ÄÚÈÝ
ijÂÃÓι«Ë¾Ìṩ¼×¡¢ÒÒ¡¢±ûÈý´¦ÂÃÓξ°µã£¬ÓοÍÑ¡ÔñÓÎÍæÄĸö¾°µã»¥²»Ó°Ï죬ÒÑ֪ijÓοÍÑ¡ÔñÓμ׵ضø²»Ñ¡ÔñÓÎÒҵغͱûµØµÄ¸ÅÂÊΪ0.08£¬Ñ¡ÔñÓμ׵غÍÒҵضø²»Ñ¡ÔñÓαûµØµÄ¸ÅÂÊΪ0.12£¬Ôڼס¢ÒÒ¡¢±ûÈý´¦ÂÃÓξ°µãÖÐÖÁÉÙÑ¡ÔñÒ»¸ö¾°µãµÄ¸ÅÂÊΪ0.88£¬Óæαíʾ¸ÃÓοÍÔڼס¢ÒÒ¡¢±ûÈý´¦¾°µãÖÐÑ¡ÔñÓÎÍæµÄ¾°µãÊýºÍûÓÐÑ¡ÔñÓÎÍæµÄ¾°µãÊýµÄ³Ë»ý£®
£¨1£©¼Ç¡°º¯Êýf£¨x£©=x2+¦ÎxÊÇRÉϵÄżº¯Êý¡±ÎªÊ¼þA£¬ÇóʼþAµÄ¸ÅÂÊ£»
£¨2£©Çó¦ÎµÄ·Ö²¼Áм°ÊýѧÆÚÍû£®
£¨1£©¼Ç¡°º¯Êýf£¨x£©=x2+¦ÎxÊÇRÉϵÄżº¯Êý¡±ÎªÊ¼þA£¬ÇóʼþAµÄ¸ÅÂÊ£»
£¨2£©Çó¦ÎµÄ·Ö²¼Áм°ÊýѧÆÚÍû£®
·ÖÎö£º£¨¢ñ£©ÒÀÌâÒ⣬¦ÎµÄËùÓпÉÄÜȡֵΪ0£¬2£¬¸ù¾Ý¦Î=0µÄÒâÒåÇóµÃP£¨¦Î=0£©µÄÖµ£®¶øº¯Êýf£¨x£©=x2+¦ÎxÊÇRÉϵÄżº¯Êýʱ¦Î=0£¬¿ÉµÃP£¨A£©=P£¨¦Î=0£©£®
£¨¢ò£©ÓÉ£¨¢ñ£©ÖªP£¨¦Î=2£©=1-P£¨¦Î=0£©£¬ÔÙ¸ù¾ÝE£¨¦Î£©µÄ¶¨ÒåÇóµÃËüµÄÖµ£®
£¨¢ò£©ÓÉ£¨¢ñ£©ÖªP£¨¦Î=2£©=1-P£¨¦Î=0£©£¬ÔÙ¸ù¾ÝE£¨¦Î£©µÄ¶¨ÒåÇóµÃËüµÄÖµ£®
½â´ð£º½â£º£¨¢ñ£©Éè¸ÃÓοÍÑ¡ÔñÓÎÍæ¼×¡¢ÒÒ¡¢±û¾°µãµÄ¸ÅÂÊÒÀ´ÎΪP1£¬P2£¬P3£¬ÓÉÌâÒâÖª
£¬½âµÃ
£®¡£¨3·Ö£©
ÒÀÌâÒ⣬¦ÎµÄËùÓпÉÄÜȡֵΪ0£¬2£¬
¦Î=0µÄÒâÒåÊÇ£º¸ÃÓοÍÓÎÍæµÄÂÃÓξ°µãÊýΪ3£¬Ã»ÓÎÍæµÄÂÃÓξ°µãÊýΪ0£»»òÓÎÍæµÄÂÃÓξ°µãÊýΪ0£¬
ûÓÎÍæµÄÂÃÓξ°µãÊýΪ3£¬
¹ÊP£¨¦Î=0£©=£¨1-0.4£©£¨1-0.6£©£¨1-0.5£©+0.4¡Á0.6¡Á0.5=0.24£®¡£¨6·Ö£©
¶øº¯Êýf£¨x£©=x2+¦ÎxÊÇRÉϵÄżº¯Êýʱ¦Î=0£¬ËùÒÔP£¨A£©=P£¨¦Î=0£©=0.24£®¡£¨8·Ö£©
£¨¢ò£©ÓÉ£¨¢ñ£©ÖªP£¨¦Î=2£©=1-P£¨¦Î=0£©=0.76£¬¡£¨10·Ö£©
¦ÎµÄ¸ÅÂÊ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪ£º
ÆäÊýѧÆÚÍûÊÇ£ºE£¨¦Î£©=0¡Á0.24+2¡Á0.76=1.52£®¡£¨12·Ö£©
|
|
ÒÀÌâÒ⣬¦ÎµÄËùÓпÉÄÜȡֵΪ0£¬2£¬
¦Î=0µÄÒâÒåÊÇ£º¸ÃÓοÍÓÎÍæµÄÂÃÓξ°µãÊýΪ3£¬Ã»ÓÎÍæµÄÂÃÓξ°µãÊýΪ0£»»òÓÎÍæµÄÂÃÓξ°µãÊýΪ0£¬
ûÓÎÍæµÄÂÃÓξ°µãÊýΪ3£¬
¹ÊP£¨¦Î=0£©=£¨1-0.4£©£¨1-0.6£©£¨1-0.5£©+0.4¡Á0.6¡Á0.5=0.24£®¡£¨6·Ö£©
¶øº¯Êýf£¨x£©=x2+¦ÎxÊÇRÉϵÄżº¯Êýʱ¦Î=0£¬ËùÒÔP£¨A£©=P£¨¦Î=0£©=0.24£®¡£¨8·Ö£©
£¨¢ò£©ÓÉ£¨¢ñ£©ÖªP£¨¦Î=2£©=1-P£¨¦Î=0£©=0.76£¬¡£¨10·Ö£©
¦ÎµÄ¸ÅÂÊ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪ£º
¦Î | 0 | 2 |
P | 0.24 | 0.76 |
µãÆÀ£º±¾ÌâÖ÷Òª¿¼²é¹Åµä¸ÅÂʼ°Æä¼ÆË㹫ʽµÄÓ¦Óã¬ÇóÀëÉ¢ÐÍËæ»ú±äÁ¿µÄ·Ö²¼Áм°ÊýѧÆÚÍû£¬ÊôÓÚÖеµÌ⣮
Á·Ï°²áϵÁдð°¸
Ïà¹ØÌâÄ¿